initial selloff in late October, firmed again and actually challenged contract highs in December. Although the dollar will be compared to the stock market, the impact there is more delayed and is more correctly filtered through the bond market. Let's consider some of those changes. In 1986, gold led again. In the summer of 1987, as an example, the collapse in the bond market simply warned the stock market trader that something was wrong.
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August 1982 stands out as a milestone in stock market history. 6 The Dollar Versus Interest Rates and Stocks Up to now I've stressed the importance of following a path through the four market sectors, starting with the dollar and working our way through commodities, bonds, and stocks in that order. In fact, the events of 1987 provide a textbook example of how the intermarket scenario works and make a compelling argument as to why stock market participants need to monitor the other three market sectors-the dollar, bonds, and commodities. Foreign currencies AND commodities will usually rise during downturns IN THE bond AND stock markets. 90 THE dollar versus interest rates AND stocks gold AND THE stock market 91 THE sequence OF THE dollar, interest rates, AND stocks The general sequence of events at market turns favors reversals in the dollar, bonds, and stocks in that order. There were no futures markets in currencies, gold, oil, or Treasury bonds. It's when one of them begins to diverge from the other that we begin to take notice.
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